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Top 10 Third Base Prospects
Finding a good third baseman is very difficult. Many of the
best hitters in the Majors played the hot corner at some point
while in the minors before having moving to other positions. It
takes quick reflexes and a strong arm to defend the position and
in today's game third basemen are also required to be run
producers. That production translated means power. To get that
power into the lineup, many teams are willing to sacrifice a
little defense. While some of the guys on this list project to
be good defenders, most project to hit with power as it is
valued most.
1. Dallas McPherson
- Anaheim Angels
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
24 |
Majors |
40 |
.225 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
17 |
.279 |
.475 |
|
|
AAA |
259 |
.313 |
19 |
8 |
20 |
23 |
95 |
.370 |
.680 |
|
|
AA |
262 |
.321 |
17 |
6 |
20 |
34 |
74 |
.404 |
.660 |
Dallas tops this list for one reason, power. He exploded last
season hitting a combined 40 homers between AA and AAA while
batting better than .300. His power is no fluke as he showed it
off against good pitchers at the highest levels of the minors.
McPherson had the door opened to be the Angel's starting third
baseman with Troy Glaus exiting for Arizona. After last season
he has nothing left to prove in the minors and should be ready
to make a solid contribution this season.
Despite his power, Dallas does have some flaws that could plague
him in the Majors. First, he is only marginal defensively. He
still has time to improve and has gotten better. Also, his
walks dipped and his strikeouts grew as he advanced to the
majors, a sign that he may a have hole or two still in his
swing.
Ultimately, he should hit for power and could hit for average as
well. He might not be able to stick at third long term and may
have to move to the outfield down the road.
2. Ian Stewart -
Colorado Rockies
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
19 |
Low A |
505 |
.319 |
31 |
9 |
30 |
66 |
112 |
.398 |
.594 |
Stewart has tremendous talent. He has the potential to be one
of the top hitters in the Majors, hitting for both power and
average. He has already shown off his power by mashing 30
homers at age 19. Ian also has a good eye as his 66 walks show
and he makes solid contact as well.
As
a defender, Stewart is still a bit raw. He has a strong arm but
committed 25 errors in 131 games. He is still young however and
should improve with experience.
Stewart probably has the most upside of any of the third basemen
but is still a little raw. He will need to continue to prove
himself against better better competition but all signs point to
a very bright future.
3. Andy Marte -
Atlanta Braves
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
21 |
AA |
387 |
.269 |
28 |
1 |
23 |
58 |
105 |
.364 |
.525 |
|
|
Rookie |
15 |
.467 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
.529 |
.993 |
Marte has been a top prospect for several years. He is a
prototypical third baseman as he projects to hit for both power
and average. He has already began to show flashes of that power,
hitting 23 home runs in just 387 at bats.
Andy also displays a good eye and is not afraid to take a walk.
This is a good sign that he will be able to adjust to better
pitching as he moves up through the minors and into the
Majors.
Defensively, Marte has improved and is more than adequate at the
hot corner now. He should continue to improve with experience
and could become an above average fielder.
Marte has tantalizing skills but has yet to put it all together
and has been more potential than production. He is said to have
good makeup to go with this skills, which bodes well for him
reaching his potential.
4. Mark Teahen -
Kansas City Royals
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
23 |
AAA |
315 |
.279 |
23 |
1 |
8 |
32 |
91 |
.353 |
.435 |
|
|
AA |
197 |
.335 |
15 |
4 |
6 |
29 |
44 |
.419 |
.543 |
Acquired by the Royals from Oakland last summer, Teahen might be
one of the most under appreciated prospects in the minors. He
lacks any one overwhelming skill and is more known for
Moneyball than for what he has accomplished on the field.
That said, all Teahen has done is produce. While he might never
win a gold glove, batting title, or home run title, he will be a
solid major leaguer. He is a solid defender and should hit
.280-.300 every year with 15 to 20 home runs. While other
players may have more ability, few are as likely to reach their
potential as Teahen is.
5. Edwin Encarnacion
- Cincinnati Reds
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
22 |
AA |
469 |
.281 |
25 |
1 |
13 |
53 |
79 |
.352 |
.443 |
The
Reds acquired Encarnacion from the Rangers in 2001 and he has
been one of their better hitting prospects since. While he has
yet to produce to the level of his ability, he still has time to
put it together. If he does, he will display average power for
his position while making good contact.
Defense is Encarnacion's greatest liability. He has good
quickness for the position and a strong arm but makes too many
errors. If he can cut down on the errors he has the potential
to be an above average third baseman.
6. Garrett Atkins -
Colorado Rockies
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
25 |
Majors |
28 |
.357 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
.424 |
.536 |
|
|
AAA |
445 |
.366 |
43 |
3 |
15 |
57 |
45 |
.434 |
.578 |
At
25, Atkins is at the age when he needs to show he has what it
takes to play in the Majors. His 2004 season did just that.
Hitting .366 with 57 walks in 445 at bats while only striking
out 45 times shows that Atkins has nothing left to prove in the
Minors. In the Majors, he should be able to hit for average
with good on base percentages but is unlikely to produce much
power.
With Vinny Castilla moving on, third base is open and Atkins has
a very good shot to win the job out of spring training. He
should be able to step in and produce with the bat immediately.
Defensively, however, Atkins still must improve to become at
least an average third baseman.
Down the road, Atkins' defensive liabilities, lack of power, and
the sheer ability of Ian Stewart will force him into a new
position or a new team.
7. Eric Duncan -
New York Yankees
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
20 |
Hi A |
173 |
.254 |
20 |
2 |
4 |
31 |
47 |
.366 |
.462 |
|
|
Low A |
288 |
.260 |
23 |
2 |
12 |
38 |
84 |
.351 |
.479 |
Duncan is a highly skilled prospect who is still developing. He
shows the potential for big time power as he hit 43 doubles in
461 at bats. As he matures, many of those doubles could be
turned into home runs. Duncan also shows a good eye as he
walked 69 times last season.
Defensively, Duncan comes up a bit short. He has limited range
and arm strength and makes too many errors. It is too early to
tell if he will be able to improve enough to play third in the
Majors.
With some experience and maturity, Duncan should be able to grow
into his power and improve his batting average and become an
above average hitter.
8. Brendan Harris -
Washington Nationals
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
24 |
AAA |
377 |
.302 |
27 |
1 |
17 |
26 |
61 |
.350 |
.515 |
Like Atkins, Harris is nearing the age when he needs to produce
or risk getting lost in the shuffle. While he played more
second than third in '04, Harris likely will need to play third
to get a shot in the Majors with the Nationals. With the bat,
Harris makes solid contact with power, enough to top 20 homers
in the Majors.
Harris is a good athlete who can play second, third or short.
He will likely get a long look as a utlilty player this season
while Castilla keeps third warm for him. In the end, his bat
could force its way into the lineup fulltime somewhere this
season.
9. Nate Schierholtz
- San Francisco Giants
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
21 |
Hi A |
258 |
.295 |
18 |
9 |
3 |
15 |
41 |
.338 |
.469 |
|
|
Low A |
233 |
.296 |
22 |
0 |
15 |
18 |
52 |
.353 |
.584 |
In
his first full season, Schierholtz made good impression with his
bat. He hit near .300 in Low A and continued the same after a
promotion to Hi A. Scheirholtz makes good contact and has very
good raw power which will be his calling card in the Majors.
Defensively, Nate needs improvement. He committed 28 errors
last season and doesn't yet look comfortable with the speed of
the game at third. He is still only 21 and has plenty of time
to work on his defense. If he does and his power comes around,
Schierholtz could be a perennial All Star.
10. Billy Butler -
Kansas City Royals
|
Age |
2004 level |
at-bats |
ave |
2b |
3b |
hr |
bb |
so |
obp |
slg |
|
18 |
Rookie |
260 |
.373 |
22 |
3 |
10 |
57 |
63 |
.488 |
.596 |
To
say the least, Butler dominated rookie ball. The Royals drafted
Butler in the first round of the 2004 draft and he wasted little
time justifying his selection. Butler has very good raw power
and has already began translating it into game power. He also
has a very good idea of the strike zone and makes very good
contact.
As
good as Butler's batting numbers were, he has yet to play
full-season ball and will need to prove himself against better
competition. His defense also needs a lot of work and will
probably force him to change positions. If he continues to
improve and make adjustments against better pitchers, he could
develop into an elite hitter in the Majors.
Top prospects by position |