Contest Analysis

Final Standings

 

We have a winner!

Mel has beaten Baseball Examiner! He was the only participant to do so. He was off by 16 wins fewer than Chuck. Congratulations, Mel! You have won your choice of a Baseball America 2005 Almanac or the Baseball America 2006 Prospect Handbook.

 

Eric was the leader going into the final month of the season, leading Mel by 14. Arizona's strong finish cost Eric a 10-point swing in Mel's favor.

 

Seven entries predicted a team's win total exactly (Alex and Chuck picking 95 wins for the Red Sox, Phil and Matt picking 74 wins for Baltimore, Mel picked 67 wins for Tampa Bay, Chuck had Oakland pegged for 88, and Phil nailed the Brewers for a surprising 81.)

 

Though he didn't score among the top entries, Alex was closest to 9 teams, more than any other entry. Mel came closest for 7 teams, the next highest total. Though he was in the running to the very end, Eric was closest to only 4 teams, fewest of all.

 

Baseball Examiner thanks each participant for helping to make this fun!

 

To best read the chart below, observe a team's win total in the final column and compare with your prediction. The difference is the number of wins off you are for that team.

 

1 month

2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months Final
Chuck 368 Chuck 312 Mel 270 Mel 203 Eric 179 Mel 192
Eric 382 Mel 320 Chuck 272 Eric 205 Mel 193 Chuck 208
Mel 414 Eric 330 Eric 276 Chuck 223 Chuck 199 Eric 208
Alex 432 Alex 338 Alex 298 Matt 239 Phil 227 Phil 216
Matt 440 Matt 376 Phil 314 Alex 251 Alex 231 Alex 240
Phil 454 Phil 380 Dwaine 338 Phil 255 Matt 235 Matt 240
Dwaine 472 Dwaine 380 Matt 340 Dwaine 307 Dwaine 285 Dwaine 286

 

 

The entry that is closest to that team's projection is marked red.

Team

Avg

5/3

6/3

7/3

8/3

9/3

Final

CD

PZ

MO

EG

AR

DK

MC

New York (AL)

96

66

81

83

86

91

95

101

91

87

100

107

96

92

Boston

94

87

90

93

93

96

95

95

93

89

98

95

99

89

Toronto

72

93

85

83

84

80

80

73

71

76

72

63

65

83

Baltimore

80

106

96

88

77

77

74

76

74

81

80

85

87

74

Tampa Bay

71

54

59

53

63

66

67

66

81

67

64

65

78

77

Total wins off for all teams in division

16

29

25

25

42

44

 

22

 

Chicago (AL)

82

118

108

109

105

100

99

83

72

81

87

91

75

85

Cleveland

80

65

76

89

86

90

93

78

83

83

83

78

81

75

Minnesota

91

97

98

92

83

85

83

95

89

85

95

88

94

88

Detroit

78

78

81

77

78

77

71

75

72

75

80

83

84

78

Kansas City

63

44

51

53

58

52

56

61

70

70

51

55

70

66

Total wins off for all teams in division

52

58

48

48

41

74

 

54

 

Los Angeles (AL)

91

96

93

100

94

91

95

94

92

87

94

92

98

80

Oakland

85

78

63

80

91

91

88

88

87

84

90

82

76

90

Texas

77

81

92

85

81

80

79

75

75

76

85

86

70

72

Seattle

80

72

67

69

70

70

69

77

84

75

71

74

87

89

Total wins off for all teams in division

13

23

21

11

21

42

 

44

 

Atlanta

91

93

87

89

93

93

90

95

87

86

96

97

84

95

Philadelphia

83

72

81

81

84

87

88

76

85

82

84

85

90

79

Florida

88

101

87

86

83

86

83

93

89

88

94

78

89

88

New York (NL)

83

78

84

80

82

83

83

84

75

86

81

82

86

86

Washington

67

84

85

100

86

83

81

71

68

74

69

62

65

61

Total wins off for all teams in division

38

33

25

35

35

33

 

42

 

St. Louis

94

110

105

102

103

102

100

98

88

93

97

102

84

97

Houston

87

71

61

77

89

86

89

80

84

91

88

90

88

88

Milwaukee

71

78

78

76

80

79

81

69

81

70

62

66

70

77

Chicago (NL)

88

78

86

81

82

78

79

91

77

90

90

86

92

91

Cincinnati

77

62

63

62

73

74

73

75

79

80

80

75

78

75

Pittsburgh

68

58

76

71

69

66

67

64

72

70

64

70

69

70

 Total wins off for all teams in division

 

40

30

41

44

30

48

 

25

 

San Diego

83

78

100

89

79

82

82

92

90

84

70

92

83

73

Arizona

69

96

90

80

77

72

77

73

75

78

72

52

65

66

San Francisco

86

87

72

69

69

74

75

85

85

86

88

88

80

89

Los Angeles (NL)

86

106

81

76

73

73

71

88

87

83

82

91

89

81

Colorado

68

41

52

57

60

65

67

59

74

73

63

70

58

76

 Total wins off for all teams in division

 

49

43

32

45

71

45

 

53

 

Entry Score

 

 

208

216

192

208

240

286

240

 

Legend of participants:

CD = Chuck of Baseball Examiner

PZ = Phil of Baseball Examiner

MO = Mel Ogrodowski

EG = Eric Gerber

AR = Alex Ruiz

DK = Dwaine Knestrick

MC = Matt Crawford

 

Team projections after 5 months

Team projections after 4 months

Team projections after 3 months

Team projections after 2 months

Team projections after 1 month

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